Author Archive | Jarrett

Public Surveying: The Quicksand of Hypotheticals

A recent post looked at the challenge of surveying the public and identifying what mixture of taxes and fees they would be willing to pay to fund a widely desired infrastructure plan.  In the Sydney Morning Herald‘s Independent Inquiry into public transport in Sydney, we did exactly that, using a survey team from the University of Technology at Sydney’s Centre for the Study of Choice.   One commenter caught the crucial point about why polling is so difficult, and why its results are often hard to trust:

There’s always a difference between what people say they want, what they actually want and what they actually do.

Continue Reading →

The Most Important Blog Post You’ll Read This Year … (Updated!)

… may well turn out to be this one, by Michael Druker at Psystenance.  It’s about a conceptual error that lies at the root of a lot of bad transit planning decisions, an error made, at one time or another, by most citizens, many political leaders, and more than a few professionals.  It’s called (not very effectively) the Fundamental Attribution Error.  It happens when we say or believe statements of the form:  “My decisions are based on my situation, but other people’s choices are based on their culture, the kind of people they are.”  Continue Reading →

Tyson’s Corner: the “Last Mile” Problem

800px-2009-08-23_Tysons_Corner_skyline Tyson’s Corner, Virginia west of Washington DC is one of America’s classic “Edge City” commercial centers.  It looks like the result of a global design competition based on the question:  “How can we build an urban center of shopping and employment that will attract 100,000 people per day, concentrated in a 5 square mile area, while ensuring that almost all of them come by car?”  Continue Reading →

Damascus: Cars Banned from the Old City

BaladnaThe Syrian newspaper Baladna launched a new English edition in December.  The first issue is on the web, and features a story about the Damascus mayor’s plan to ban cars from the narrow streets of the old city.

If Syria is an alien place to you, this article will make it feel utterly familiar.  In the interviews with restaurant owners, shopkeepers, and tourism operators, everyone says exactly what they would say if this were proposed in any other city in the world. Continue Reading →

Willingness to Pay for Transit Improvements

Los angeles frequency survey Do your city’s political leaders understand what funding sources people would support if they knew what they were buying?  A few weeks ago, the Source (a blog by the Los Angeles transit agency Metro) reported on a survey showing that current riders would pay 50c more in fares for a doubling of their frequency of service.  This isn’t as encouraging as it sounds, because a doubling of frequency, even with significant ridership increases as a result, will cost a lot more than 50 cents per new rider.  But it’s a useful soundbite.  These questions, broadly called “willingness to pay” questions, need to be asked more, and more probingly. Continue Reading →

Seattle Suburbs: The Silence of Sundays

Community Transit, which serves most of the northern suburbs of Seattle, is shutting down completely on Sundays.  This wouldn’t be unusual in a small-city transit system, but CT’s service area (most of Snohomish County) is a big suburban expanse with about half a million people.  It has enough transit demand to support a low-end Bus Rapid Transit line, called Swift, which will presumably not run on Sundays either.

This is a fairly dramatic step by North American standards.  Local transit in suburban areas generally appeals to people with few choices, but many, many of these people work in low-wage jobs in the service sector, such as restaurants and big-box retail.  These business are open seven days a week and often are busiest on weekends, so most of their employees have to work some weekend shifts.  A transit system that doesn’t run on Sundays will no longer be useful to these people.  Based on what I’ve seen elsewhere, most of them will find other arrangements; CT is likely to lose them on all five days a week that they travel, not just Sunday.  Some, those without any good transport options, may lose their jobs.

I hope CT or some other local government researches what happens to these riders when Sunday service ends.  The best approach might be to survey the Sunday riders before the service stops, asking them for follow-up contacts so that they can be interviewed again a few months in the future.  This would not only provide good data for other agencies facing the need to cut service, but would also be a nice way for the agency to convey some concern for the well-being of these customers.

Children on Transit: A Personal Note

Kids_on___bwayA few days back, frequent commenter Engineer Scotty did a much discussed guest post on the problems of travelling with small children on transit.  He suggested, I thought, a reasonable range of accommodations that transit agencies should make (many of them good things to do anyway) and also talked through some things the parent can do to make the situation easier.

Scotty has twins, so he often drives a double-wide stroller/pram.  To people who don’t like the company of small children, a double-wide pram seems to evoke the same emotions that a Hummer evokes in car-haters like myself.  It seems huge, excessive, “in your face.”  As Scotty observes, it can get on a bus in pretty much the way a wheelchair does, but like a wheelchair it takes a lot of space and demands some accommodation from other passengers if the bus is crowded.

It’s been interesting to watch this post’s reception for several reasons.  First of all, a lot of this blog is about explaining concepts that not everyone has thought about, and on which many don’t have a strongly-held view.   But when the subject is children on transit, everyone’s interested and everyone has an opinion.  Scotty’s post was featured by Streetsblog, and it drove my traffic to a level not seen since Portland shock-blogger Jack Bogdanski attacked me for suggesting he pay the real price of parking in downtown Portland.   Continue Reading →

Sydney: Grid Networks for Gridless Cities

Whenever I talk about the value of grid networks, as I did here, someone always says: But my city isn’t a grid.  For example, Sydney, where I live now, is about as ungridlike a city as you’ll encounter.  In fact, there’s no large system of order in Sydney’s road network at all.  Some roads follow what were once Aboriginal tracks, but mostly it just grew, one bit at a time, an accretion of millions of short-term decisions.

Syd inner basenao Continue Reading →

Guest Post: Families and Children on Transit

This guest post is by EngineerScotty, a software engineer and part-time transportation geek from the Portland, Oregon areaHe is a frequent commenter here on Human Transit.

Kids_on___bwayI’m a father of several small children, including twin boys (now four years old).  [Not those in the picture — JW]   Using public transit provides parents with several challenges not faced by childless passengers; and conversely, families with children provide transit authorities with challenges–and opportunities–that are unique.  In a recent thread on PortlandTransport.com, one poster, a dedicated urbanist with a bit of a temper, made it clear to myself and other parents that he considered kids–our “screaming brats” as he put it–unwelcome on transit.  Continue Reading →